Affordable Housing and Urban Transportation

 

Creating Enough Affordable Housing - 10/5/2007

This commentary is stimulated by our Lake Hills Liberals discussion led by Sarajane Siegfriedt.

 

We Need to Ask: What do you Mean by "Affordable"? Affordable to Whom?

Puget Sound, especially King County, has become a community of the haves and the have-nots. Thanks to Microsoft and other high-tech and bio-tech investors, we have more millionaires than almost any other community. We also have the highest minimum wage in the U.S. at $7.93. It will top $8 come January.  But that doesn't make our area affordable. 

 

At the current minimum wage, you'd earn $16,557.  Allocating a standard 30% for rent,  that's $414 a month for rent. I challenge you to find a habitable apartment in Seattle or Bellevue for $414 a month. You'd need to go to Burien, Kent or Auburn. Apartment rent now averages $1001 in King County.  A "living wage" for a single adult would be $12.11. Or you'd need to work 1.5 jobs. That's why we need subsidized housing, both for working people and for disabled and elderly people who can't work. 

 

An average Seattle Housing Authority tenant receiving Social Security for disability lives on $10,000 and pays 30% of that for rent. That's like "earning" $4.81 an hour.  It's dismal. No one can live on that without a lot of help.  Housing for low-income elderly and disabled individuals must be built and operated with subsidies.  The number one advocacy goal for the Washington Low-Income Housing Association is to increase the Washington State Housing Trust Fund from $130 million to $1 billion.

 

Much of the operating subsidy comes from the federal government, but that's shrinking, relative to inflation. HUD stopped building public housing in the Reagan administration, resulting in the homelessness we see today. That level of political commitment has never been restored. Private charities cannot hope to fill the gap.

 

Our homeownership rate is one of the lowest in the country.  The majority of us are renters. We have the healthiest real estate market in the country, due to our healthy economy. It continues to push home values further out of reach. The median house costs about $435,000.  One-bedroom condos are also out of reach.  If a first-year teacher earns $35,000, homeownership is not an option. It would take two jobs to afford a one-bedroom condo costing over $200,000. Our teacher can pay just $875 a month for rent and utilities. That limits her to certain parts of the King County where rents are cheaper than Seattle or Bellevue

 

Not surprisingly, many young professionals in their 20s are sharing houses.  When a friend put a five-bedroom house on Phinney Ridge up for rent at $2,500 a month, there were three sets of five young people competing for the privilege.

 

If you follow public policy discussions on housing (un)affordability, you may hear developers talking about providing a percentage of "affordable" housing that is affordable to people earning 80% of the median income. Please, please--ask what that is.  If the median for a family of four in King County (one of the 100 wealthiest counties in the U.S.) is $71,900?  Where does that leave single renters if the median for singles is $53,157?  Where will your unmarried kids live?  Your elderly mom? With you?? Anyone working for $10 an hour, or $22,880 a year--the typical wage for many basic jobs, who can pay $572 for housing?

 

The real public policy discussion should begin at definitions.  What is the poverty level, if it takes at least twice the poverty level to live? (Most social services use this guideline for "needy.") You can see that Bush's complaint that the State Health Insurance Program should be limited to "poor" children is specious, if the federal definition of poverty is half of what it should be. This is why families earning less than the median need help paying for medical costs, as well as housing.

 

This is why the Washington State Low-Income Housing Alliance is advocating to raise the State Housing Trust Fund from $130 million to $1 billion, to house the homeless and subsidize first-time homeowners. 

 

This is why we need to prioritize those in truly living in poverty, on $700 per month Social Security disability, to get those limited numbers of subsidized housing units that we can build and operate, with the subsidies currently available.  We also need to find incentives for building more rental housing for our workers, by creating tax breaks, land trusts, speedy permitting and more intensive land use, such as permitting "accessory dwelling units" in the basements or backyards throughout Seattle and the suburbs.  Sarajane Siegfriedt, Low-Income Housing Advocate

 

Toward a Comprehensive Affordable Housing Plan

Our central Puget Sound faces four major challenges: urban sprawl, unaffordable housing, congested transportation, and excessive energy consumption, all fueled in part from continuing population increase.  Our Puget Sound Regional Council’s Vision 2040 Report addresses urban sprawl and environmental impacts.  Our Sound Transit 2 plan for transit investments and Our Regional Transportation Investment District’s Blueprint for Progress addresses our congested transportation.  I can’t find any similar comprehensive report addressing the lack of affordable housing near where people work.  Let’s begin by imagining what such a report would contain.

 

It might begin by defining various sub-areas of our Central Puget Sound perhaps 5-10 mile squares.  It would then project (to 2040) the growth of jobs (providing various incomes) in these various sub-areas.  For example, how many jobs paying $10, $15, $20 would be anticipated in downtown Bellevue, the Overlake-Crossroads area, Kirkland, Redmond, etc.  Considering family composition and that people should be able to rent or buy housing with monthly payments of no more than 30% of their incomes, how many one, two, three, etc. bedroom houses or condos are needed at various costs in each sub-area?

 

Our Housing Development Consortium demonstrates that for the region as a whole, the gap between what people can afford and what is available is widening.  Apartment Finder provides links to public agencies that provide affordable housing and the housing that they provide.  The waiting lists range from months to two years.  Only three projects are in Bellevue.  None are in Maple Valley.

 

Once these housing objectives are decided, the next question is how to create the needed housing and make it available at affordable rates.  Low income housing providers Our Housing Development Consortium and Housing Resource Group have worked in collaboration with other housing non-profits, local, county and state governments, elected officials and banks on policies and programs concerning; smart growth, Convention Center replacement housing, resources for affordable housing, property tax exemption, height and density, MUP process, neighborhood planning, light rail and monorail related development, tax credit policy, surplus property and zoning and community education.

 

The Washington Low Income Housing Alliance led a multi-year advocacy, organizing, education and policy-research effort that resulted in the passage of several key bills and the adoption of a budget that brings critical new resources to bear on the work of our members.  Various trust funds; tax credits; public, private non-profit and private profit partnerships; public housing; housing development

requirements; zoning and building code strategies have been used. 

 

Our Committee to End Homelessness in King County has created a Ten-Year Plan to End Homelessness that sets a goal of building 4,500 new units and providing 4,500 existing subsidized units by 2015.  But we need a larger regional agency to address our affordable housing situation and needs with the same concern and resources as have been used to address urban sprawl and transportation.  Otherwise we will continue fall behind in meeting these needs.  Dave Thomas with suggestions from Sarajane Siegfriedt

 

Eastside Rail Now Would Require Little Funding 10/5/2007

 

Establishing commuter trains on the Eastside tracks previously used by the Dinner Train from Renton to Snohomish can be done within two years for $200 million.  This could be operating more than 10 years before a proposition 1 funded Eastside transit from Seattle to Bellevue to Redmond.   For more.  If the voters fail to pass proposition 1, Eastside Rail Now becomes even more important.

 

The cost of Eastside Rail Now is less than 1% of the proposition 1’s cost (without the necessary borrowing costs of the latter).  The cost is similar to the recently projected two year increase in state revenues due to our economic growth.  Here is a funding possibility inspired by the Muckleshoot Indian Tribe’s offer to partially fund a basketball

 

No Recommendation on Transportation Proposition 1

 – 10/19/2007

 

I wish I could recommend Transportation Proposition 1.  Here is my thinking that alternatives are needed.  I believe that Proposition 1 focuses primarily on traffic congestion which results from single occupancy commuters.  It not only enables these commuters, it contributes to urban sprawl and environment degradation.

 

I believe the basic problem is not traffic congestion.  It is the lack of affordable housing for workers near their workplaces.  In the absence of such housing, urban sprawl results as housing is built further away.  Traffic congestion results from urban sprawl.  Environmental degradation results from urban sprawl and from traffic congestion.

 

Proposition 1 enables the spending of $7 billion on highway improvements.  I believe we would do more to meet the challenges described above by spending much of this $7 billion on affordable housing.  Suppose that a $100,000 investment on average could reduce the cost of a home near a commuter’s workplace, such that the commuter would move instead of commuting.  $1 billion would provide such a subsidy for 10,000 homes.  How many billions would it take to decrease the number of commuters enough to reduce traffic congestion by as much as is expected to result from passing proposition 1?   How much of the $7 billion should be spent on affordable housing instead of highway improvements?  Remember also the benefits of reducing urban sprawl and environmental damage.  Think of the family benefits that result when less time is spent commuting.

 

Proposition 1 also spends $11 billion for Sound Transit’s 50 additional miles of light rail rapid transit.  But Sound Transit has a terrible record with the mega-projects it has already undertaken, way over-budget and beyond schedule.  If you liked WHOOPS (Slang for the Washington Public Power Supply System (WPPSS), which made the record books with the largest municipal bond default in history), you must love Sound Transit.  We do need rapid transit.  But I think we can do it much cheaper.  Let’s do it in phases, so each project depends upon the successful completion of previous projects.

 

I would propose the following projects for our Eastside:

1.   Along Dinner train tracks adjacent to I-405 from Renton to Snohomish County

2.   Along I-90 from Seattle to Factoria

3.   Along I-90 from Factoria to Issaquah

4.   Along SR-520 from Bellevue to Overlake to Redmond

5.   Along NE 4th Street from I-405 to Bellevue Way

6.   Along NE 85th Street from Kirkland to I-405 to Redmond

These rapid transit routes parallel existing freeway routes of I-90, I-405 and SR-520.

 

We could begin with project 1, which could be accomplished within several years for $200 million.  As soon as project 1 is completed, buses could connect its route with Seattle, Issaquah, Bellevue, and Kirkland along the routes of projects 2-6.  Phase II could consist of project 2 and upgrading project 1 to carry compatible trains.  Later phases would include the other projects, not necessarily in the order that they are numbered above.  As projects are completed, trains could connect all new destinations with all of the previous ones.

 

This approach has the disadvantage that the route from Seattle to downtown Bellevue is not as direct.  An advantage is that it doesn’t expensively go through the Surrey Downs neighborhood.  A major advantage is that accountability could be maintained by approving the projects and their financing in sequence.  Finance charges can be less, if we fund projects as we initiate them.

 

One of the features of Proposition 1 that has most aroused my skepticism is its deceptive packaging.  Traffic congestion has been exaggerated and other challenges ignored.  Costs have been de-emphasized.  It was not easy to find the amount that is to be spent on highway improvements and the amount on light rail.  Combining so many projects in one package is a Hail Mary Pass.  Either win big or lose. 

 

Election Results 11/9/2007

 

Transportation and Affordable Housing

I suspect one of the reasons that Proposition 1 failed is that most voters are not directly affected by freeway congestion during commute hours.  If so, it will be very difficult to pass any expensive transportation initiative that concerns either highways, or transit or both.  Suppose, we propose less expensive smaller projects.  High priority would be replacing our Seattle waterfront viaduct.  Another would be replacing our SR-520 bridge.  These projects should be the focus of attention for our pork barreling national senators and congress persons.  Other projects would extend our light rail east and north-south with a series of projects, each dependent upon performance of at least part of the previous ones.

 

However, I repeat that the underlying problem is lack of affordable housing near to jobs, which is the generator of urban sprawl, commuting, air pollution and other forms of environmental degradation.  Less quantifiable is the negative impact on family time.  Even though there are not the wealthy and powerful special interests backing affordable housing as those that back highway improvements, serious attention and planning should be given to creating affordable housing.

 

Affordable Housing

 

It’s affordable housing, stupid.  Lack of affordable housing near jobs produces urban sprawl.  Sprawl produces commuting and congestion.  These produce pollution.  Commuting also diminishes personal and family time.

 

Even proponents of transportation fixes admit they won’t make much difference.  Unfortunately that’s where the pork is.  So we keep trying to fix the symptom. 

 

Let’s find out how much it would cost to entice people to live nearer their work.  Buying down the cost of houses and apartments near jobs might be the solution to all these problems.   And it might be cheaper than transportation fixes.  At an average cost of $100,000 per residence, $1 billion would provide 10,000 residences for sale or rent at permanently lower prices.

 

Providing Affordable Housing Near Jobs – 11/23/2007

 

Providing transportation and education involves paying big bucks to powerful interests, so we have well funded organizations researching and planning responses to transportation and educational challenges.  Providing affordable housing doesn’t involve paying big bucks to powerful interests, so our efforts to meet housing challenges don’t produce well funded organizations, research and plans.  The following is an approach that might be taken to meet our housing challenges.

 

We must first project where various types of jobs will be located in decades to come.  Then what types of family by income would be attracted to these jobs.  For example, we would project the number of single and two adult families with and without children with various incomes that would be attracted to jobs in downtown Kirkland.  Assuming that no more than 30% of their incomes should be spent on housing, we could predict the number of houses and apartments that are needed at various rents or sale prices. 

 

Comparing these numbers with the numbers that the market alone would provide, we determine the need for additional dwellings in lower price ranges.  We then buy down the cost of more expensive existing or new houses.  For example, we pay $100,000 to reduce the cost of a $300,000 dwelling to $200,000.  The purchaser would pay $200,000, but could only sell it for that plus inflation.  Thus it would remain affordable at that level.  Similarly, payments could be made to reduce the sale price of other units.  And by paying part of the cost of rental housing, the rents could also be permanently reduced.

 

Other means may also be used.  Developers can be required to include a proportion of housing at different price levels.  Various types of financing may be used, depending upon tax and other advantages.  Partnerships can be formed with non-profit organizations to provide housing with services for particular types of dwellers.

 

Sound Transit Pushes Enormously Expensive Disruptive Eastside Light Rail – 3/21/2008

 

Sound transit insists on pursuing a route from Seattle across I-90 through South Bellevue neighborhoods to downtown Bellevue.  For more.  This route is enormously expensive and will negatively affect South Bellevue neighborhoods.  It would also take much more time to plan, finance and implement.

 

A much cheaper and less disruptive route would use publicly owned land by following I-90 to I-405 and then north.  While taking a few minutes longer from Seattle to Bellevue, it would be much less expensive.  And allow easy extension south to Renton, east to Issaquah, northeast to Redmond and west to Kirkland.

 

It seems like Sound Transit can always find a more expensive way to create light rail than various cheaper alternatives. 

 

Sound Transit Linking to Eastside6/13/2008

 

As with its previous projects, Sound Transit shows little concern for cost or for impacts on neighborhoods.  It focuses on getting from point A to point B as fast as possible.  It identifies 7 alternatives for a route from Seattle to Bellevue.  Five of them turn north from I-90 near Bellevue Way to cross through Surrey Downs neighborhood to downtown Bellevue.  Three of these routes receive most attention.  The Sixth alternative is not described.  The Seventh alternative continues East on I-90 to the Factoria area and then turns north along the BNSF Railroad/I-405 Corridor.  For more.

 

I believe that the Seventh alternative offers many advantages.  It provides a route which can be extended to Renton and Issaquah, as well as to Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland and further north.  It uses publicly owned right of way, part of it already graded for rail.  It would thus be much less expensive than the routes through Surrey Downs.  And it would not disrupt any neighborhoods.  The sole disadvantage is that it would take slightly longer to travel from Seattle to downtown Bellevue than the more direct routes. 

 

I anticipate that Eastside public transit would be developed as a series of projects, allowing better accountability and lower financing costs than a larger project.  The first project would be to extend service to Factoria and perhaps north along the BNSF Railroad/I-405 corridor to about NE 6th Street.  Later projects would reach to Renton, Issaquah, downtown Bellevue, Overlake and Redmond, Kirkland, and further North to the vicinity of Woodinville-Bothell.  Perhaps later to the north and west to Everett.

 

Until Sound Transit seriously considers the alternative 7 route and gives detailed cost, transit time and other numbers for comparing it with their clearly preferred Bellevue Way routes, I will not support any of their proposals for eastside public transit.  The first phase of our Eastside transit should prepare the way for service between all of our Eastside population centers, including Renton, Issaquah, Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland and further north.  It is important to quickly implement eastside public transit.  But not at any cost.  It is more important to get it right.  Dave Thomas

 

Sound Transit's Eastside plan is flawed

Published by Seattle Times on 7/15/2008 and Bellevue Reporter on 7/19/2008

 

Eastside rapid transit should be quickly implemented. But Sound Transit’s proposal is flawed in three ways.  Focusing upon connecting Seattle and Bellevue commercial districts, its route goes across the I-90 bridge, turning north to travel the shortest distance to downtown Bellevue. It neglects serving other Eastside population and job centers. It uses expensively acquired developed private properties. It gravely harms existing neighborhoods.

 

A superior alternative would use the I-90 right-of-way to Factoria. In phases, it could be extended along the existing dinner train route with links to Bellevue, Renton, Issaquah, Redmond, Kirkland and Woodinville-Bothell. It uses publicly owned right of way, part of it already graded for rail.

 

It would be save much money compared with routes through expensive private property. It would not disrupt any neighborhoods. The sole disadvantage is a slightly longer travel time between Seattle and downtown Bellevue.

 

Instead of only serving Seattle and Bellevue commercial interests, our Eastside public transit should link all our Eastside’s population centers. We should be able to travel easily between any of them. If Sound Transit’s unduly expensive, disruptive short-sighted proposal is put on this fall’s ballot, I shall oppose it.  Dave Thomas